Sunday, July 10, 2011

Market Read 071111-071511

Bullish case:

- Still no real selling on Friday and volume wasn't OMG
- Buying at the close on Friday
- Indexes held the 5 EMA
- Dollar still weak being held below the 100 SMA
- VIX did not spike up on Friday but held 15.50
- Copper did not break down.
- Momo leaders like AAPL AMZN WYNN LVS POT CF had relatively strong Fridays

Bearish case:

- UST's (Long Bond) had a huge Friday
- Consumer Staples (XLP), Utilities (XLU) and Health Care (XLV) were the strongest sectors on Friday confirming risk aversion
- We're at the top end of the range indicative of a out of balance market profile unless buyers have enough force to break out
-Possible bear flags in SPY QQQ IWM

Weekend news

Debt deal breakdown
http://www.businessweek.com/news/2011-07-10/boehner-backs-away-from-4-trillion-deficit-reduction-accord.html

China import growth slows in June breaking trend
http://www.businessweek.com/news/2011-07-10/china-trade-surplus-hits-seven-month-high-as-imports-slow.html

China inflation still surging
http://www.businessweek.com/news/2011-07-09/china-inflation-surging-past-6-poses-growth-challenge-for-wen.html

EU emergency meeting regarding Italy
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/07/10/us-eurozone-idUSTRE7691HM20110710

This week's finviz calendar
http://finviz.com/calendar.ashx

SPY


2 minute


QQQ


2 minute


IWM


2 minute


Dollar (USDX)


Copper (HG_F)


Long Bond (ZB_F)


Crude (XOIL)


Gold (XGLD)


Silver (XSLV)


Crude VIX


VIX


McClellan Oscillator


JNK v. LQD


No comments:

Post a Comment