Monday, December 26, 2011

May 2012 be a Better Year



Sometimes I lay under the moon
And I thank God I'm breathin'
Then I pray don't take me soon
'Cause I am here for a reason

Sometimes in my tears I drown
But I never let it get me down
So when negativity surrounds
I know someday it'll all turn around because


Market Predictions for 2012


Sunday, December 25, 2011

Top 5 2012 New Year's Trading Resolutions

1. HOLD LONGER to TARGET(S): "Plan your trade. Trade your plan." Like most traders this is one hurdle that continues to remain my greatest challenge. I especially struggle with this when I'm on a hot winning streak and my emotions move into "no loss" mode and I begin hyper-scalping leading to discipline erosion.

2. NO MORE BIG GAMBLES by not doubling, tripling or quadrupling + down to try to get bailed out of positions:


3. 20-30%+ ROC goal: Keep the consistency going by stabilizing the stats (avg return on winners v. losers, % of winning v. losing trades, avg $ down v. up day, etc...)




4. More balanced WORK(TRADING)/PERSONAL life: There are a ton of subset personal goals under this general comprehensive professional one like traveling more, adopting a pet, volunteering at the food bank or animal shelter, etc... I plan on continuing to incorporate relaxation, breathing and meditation into my daily routines. I'm dedicating a large portion of the return budget to travel. Ideally I'd like to continue visiting family and friends domestically with 1-2 international trip annually.




5. TWEET/FB less BLOG more: For those who follow me on twitter you know I'm over-active on the twittersphere and during downtime I'm like most employed people addicted to the bad habit that is constantly checking facebook so starting this new year I won't be posting as many live but delayed entries and exits.




Saturday, December 17, 2011

Market Read for Week for 121911-122311

Market Read


Bias: no clue "neutral" 

Finviz US econ calendar: http://finviz.com/calendar.ashx

Bullish case:

- Seasonal bias: Ho Ho rally
- Slightly oversold
- AAPL above 200SMA 

Bearish case:

- under 200SMA
- Dollar above 80
- VIX is dropping toward 20 but this is probably primarily due to seasonality
- Crude appears to be forming a potential IHS but will need to touch 90 to form right shoulder

SPY



30 min


QQQ


IWM



Dollar


VIX


McClellan Oscillator


Crude


Gold


Silver


JNK v. LQD


AAPL